Tropical cyclones · Eastern North Pacific
Hurricane Vance tracker
Active · advisory of 24 Oct, 21:00 UTC (NHC)
Hurricane Vance is in the Eastern North Pacific at 13.3°N 103.3°W, moving north, 5 kt (9 km/h). Maximum sustained winds are 80 kt (150 km/h, 90 mph), Category 1 on the Saffir-Simpson scale, with a central pressure of 977 hPa. Data from NHC, 24 Oct, 21:00 UTC.
- Category
- Category 1
- Cat 1
- Max sustained wind
- 80 kt
- 150 km/h · 90 mph
- Gusts
- 90 kt
- 165 km/h
- Central pressure
- 977 hPa
- Position
- 13.3°N 103.3°W
- Movement
- north, 5 kt (9 km/h)
- Updated
- 24 Oct, 21:00 UTC
- NHC
Track and forecast cone
track so farforecastcone of uncertaintyTDTSCat 1Cat 2Cat 3Cat 4Cat 5
Dots are the observed positions and the forecast points, coloured by Saffir-Simpson category. The shaded cone is where the centre is likely to go: wind, rain and surge reach far outside it.
Track Vance live: path, forecast and cone Wind around Vance on the live map Gusts Rain
Not an official warning. This page repeats public data from NHC, JTWC and GDACS and can be hours old. For watches, warnings and evacuation orders follow your national weather service and local authorities.
Where is Vance going?
The official forecast moves the centre to about 19.3°N 105.6°W by 29 Oct, 18:00 UTC, with 40 kt (tropical storm).
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind | Category |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 14.0°N 103.6°W | 75 kt | Cat 1 |
| 25 Oct, 18:00 UTC | 14.9°N 104.0°W | 70 kt | Cat 1 |
| 26 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 15.6°N 104.4°W | 70 kt | Cat 1 |
| 26 Oct, 18:00 UTC | 16.0°N 104.6°W | 75 kt | Cat 1 |
| 27 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 16.4°N 104.8°W | 70 kt | Cat 1 |
| 27 Oct, 18:00 UTC | 17.0°N 104.9°W | 65 kt | Cat 1 |
| 28 Oct, 18:00 UTC | 18.1°N 105.2°W | 50 kt | TS |
| 29 Oct, 18:00 UTC | 19.3°N 105.6°W | 40 kt | TS |
Forecast positions from the latest advisory. Errors grow with time: on average about 100 km at 2 days and 300 km at 5 days.
Land and people in the path of Vance
No exposure estimate is available for this storm yet. Check the official sources below.
Track history
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind | Category |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct, 21:00 UTC | 13.3°N 103.3°W | 80 kt | Cat 1 |
| 24 Oct, 18:00 UTC | 13.0°N 103.2°W | 85 kt | Cat 2 |
| 24 Oct, 15:00 UTC | 12.9°N 103.0°W | 90 kt | Cat 2 |
| 24 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 12.5°N 103.1°W | 90 kt | Cat 2 |
| 24 Oct, 09:00 UTC | 12.4°N 102.8°W | 95 kt | Cat 2 |
| 24 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 12.0°N 102.9°W | 95 kt | Cat 2 |
| 24 Oct, 03:00 UTC | 12.0°N 102.6°W | 95 kt | Cat 2 |
| 24 Oct, 00:00 UTC | 11.6°N 102.6°W | 100 kt | Cat 3 |
| 23 Oct, 21:00 UTC | 11.2°N 102.3°W | 90 kt | Cat 2 |
| 23 Oct, 18:00 UTC | 11.0°N 102.2°W | 90 kt | Cat 2 |
| 23 Oct, 15:00 UTC | 10.7°N 102.1°W | 80 kt | Cat 1 |
| 23 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 10.6°N 102.1°W | 75 kt | Cat 1 |
| 23 Oct, 09:00 UTC | 10.9°N 102.1°W | 75 kt | Cat 1 |
| 23 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 10.6°N 101.9°W | 70 kt | Cat 1 |
| 23 Oct, 03:00 UTC | 10.5°N 101.9°W | 60 kt | TS |
| 23 Oct, 00:00 UTC | 10.4°N 101.6°W | 60 kt | TS |
Official sources
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Questions
- Where is Hurricane Vance now?
- At 13.3°N 103.3°W, moving north, 5 kt (9 km/h), according to NHC at 24 Oct, 21:00 UTC.
- How strong is Hurricane Vance?
- Maximum sustained winds of 80 kt (150 km/h, 90 mph): Category 1 on the Saffir-Simpson scale, central pressure 977 hPa.
- Where will Hurricane Vance make landfall?
- Landfall times and places come only from the official advisories: follow NHC and your national weather service.
Saffir-Simpson categories
| Category | Wind (kt) | km/h | mph | Typical damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TD tropical depression | < 34 | < 63 | < 39 | Heavy rain and flooding are the main danger. |
| TS tropical storm | 34–63 | 63–118 | 39–73 | Damaging gusts, heavy rain, flooding, dangerous seas. |
| Cat 1 Category 1 | 64–82 | 119–153 | 74–95 | Very dangerous winds: damage to roofs, trees and power lines. |
| Cat 2 Category 2 | 83–95 | 154–177 | 96–110 | Extremely dangerous winds: extensive damage, power cuts for days. |
| Cat 3 Category 3 | 96–112 | 178–208 | 111–129 | Major hurricane: devastating damage, homes lose roofs, weeks without power. |
| Cat 4 Category 4 | 113–136 | 209–251 | 130–156 | Catastrophic damage: most trees and power poles down, areas uninhabitable for weeks. |
| Cat 5 Category 5 | ≥ 137 | ≥ 252 | ≥ 157 | Catastrophic damage: a high share of homes destroyed, areas uninhabitable for months. |
How to read the cone
The cone is drawn through circles that contain the true centre position about two times out of three, based on the past five years of forecast errors. It widens with time because the forecast gets less certain. It is not the size of the storm: damaging wind, rain and surge often extend hundreds of kilometres outside it.
Other tropical cyclones
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- Hurricane Polo Cat 5 Eastern North Pacific · 30 Sept 2026
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How this page is made
Built every hour by LayEarth from public feeds: the NOAA National Hurricane Center (CurrentStorms.json, forecast advisories, cone and best-track files) for the Atlantic and the eastern and central Pacific, and GDACS (European Commission JRC and UN OCHA), which relays JTWC and the regional centres, for the other basins, with its estimates of people exposed. Category is computed here from the 1-minute sustained wind; centres that use 10-minute winds (RSMC La Réunion, BoM, Fiji, IMD, JMA) publish lower numbers and their own scales. Kilometres per hour and miles per hour are rounded to 5.